Recession, Recession, Why Such Confusion

It’s a year since the worst of the Covid-19 outbreaks, and with most people fully vaccinated in many countries, economies are getting back to work. The biggest concern, though, around the world is soaring inflation which is well-entrenched now and broadbased, so interest rate hikes to tame it are in full swing. The tightening of… Continue reading Recession, Recession, Why Such Confusion

Geopolitical Tensions Derailing Economic Recovery

In my second Owleye column on my blog, I had called the geopolitical tensions emanating out of Russia and China at the time a red herring. I had written that the world, especially the media, were busy talking up the threat of war by Russia and China over Ukraine and Taiwan respectively. I was wrong.… Continue reading Geopolitical Tensions Derailing Economic Recovery

Growth Pangs Sans China

Since the 1990s, the world economy has been so used to growing along with China, that it’s almost impossible to imagine a world without the Chinese growth engine. That’s because the Chinese economy liberalized in the 1980s and began to trade and do business freely with the rest of the world. They became a member… Continue reading Growth Pangs Sans China

Just Who Is a Trade War “Good” For?

In March 2018, President Trump said that “Trade wars are good and easy to win.” As economies and markets roil in the throes of the year-and-a-half long US-China trade war, it is perhaps time to ask who is a trade war good for and what impact it is having on business and ordinary people. By… Continue reading Just Who Is a Trade War “Good” For?